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UFC Bantamweight

Vince Morales VS Colby Thicknesse

RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Tale of the Tape

16-11-0 Record 10-1-0
35 Age 26
170 cm Height 170 cm
178 cm Reach 175 cm
orthodox Stance orthodox
75% Finish rate 40%
44% KO rate 20%
31% Sub rate 20%

Result Summary

Colby Thicknesse def. Vince Morales Decision (unanimous) · R3 5:00

Thicknesse survived a brutal third-round rally to squeak out a unanimous decision win. Thicknesse started incredibly strong, utilizing high-level jiu-jitsu in the first round to put Morales in serious danger with deep triangle choke and armbar attempts. The second round was razor-thin and contested mostly on the feet, where Morales defended well and traded punches, but Thicknesse maintained a high pace and steady pressure. In the third round, Morales showcased his veteran savvy by rocking Thicknesse and gaining top position, where he proceeded to beat Thicknesse up with heavy ground-and-pound. Despite Morales's dominant final round, Thicknesse's submission threats and volume in the first ten minutes were enough to earn him the nod on the scorecards with identical 29-28 scores.

Fight Overview

Colby Thicknesse makes his second appearance at RAC Arena — the same venue where he earned his first UFC win over Josias Musasa last September — as a 26-year-old Australian prospect looking to build on an 8-1 record, while 35-year-old American veteran Vince Morales carries a 3-8 UFC record and arrives off a loss to Raul Rosas Jr. in March 2025. Morales, a wrestling-based fighter who has shown near-submission ability against quality opponents, represents the experience edge, but Thicknesse's significant volume advantage and home crowd support make this a genuine opportunity for him to establish ranking relevance.

Keys to Victory

Vince Morales

  1. Get the fight to the mat quickly using his wrestling base before Thicknesse can establish his striking rhythm.
  2. Target the body in the early rounds to slow Thicknesse's cardio, which has been his strongest weapon in three-round wars.
  3. Use cage clinches to neutralize Thicknesse's volume and force him to work through dirty boxing rather than open exchanges.

Colby Thicknesse

  1. Establish high-volume striking from the first minute to make Morales work defensively and avoid early takedown attempts.
  2. Circle away from Morales's shots and make him pay for every single-leg or double-leg attempt with counter strikes.
  3. Control the center of the Octagon and use his reach advantage to dictate range throughout all three rounds.

Last 5 fights

Vince Morales

  1. L Raul Rosas Jr. Decision · R3 5:00 · 29 MAR 2025
  2. L Elijah Smith Decision · R3 5:00 · 15 FEB 2025
  3. L Taylor Lapilus Decision · R3 5:00 · 28 SEPT 2024
  4. W Hunter Azure Submission · R3 4:06 · 30 AUG 2024
  5. W Luis Guerrero Submission · R2 4:09 · 24 MAY 2024

Colby Thicknesse

  1. W Josias Musasa Decision · R3 5:00 · 28 SEPT 2025
  2. L Aleksandre Topuria Decision · R3 5:00 · 9 FEB 2025
  3. W Marvin Malunes KO · R1 · 23 NOV 2024
  4. W Norman Agcopra Submission · R1 2:38 · 27 OCT 2024
  5. W Jufri Gobel KO · R1 1:50 · 21 JUL 2024

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AI-generated This analysis was generated with AI and may contain errors.

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