Tale of the Tape
Result Summary
Thicknesse survived a brutal third-round rally to squeak out a unanimous decision win. Thicknesse started incredibly strong, utilizing high-level jiu-jitsu in the first round to put Morales in serious danger with deep triangle choke and armbar attempts. The second round was razor-thin and contested mostly on the feet, where Morales defended well and traded punches, but Thicknesse maintained a high pace and steady pressure. In the third round, Morales showcased his veteran savvy by rocking Thicknesse and gaining top position, where he proceeded to beat Thicknesse up with heavy ground-and-pound. Despite Morales's dominant final round, Thicknesse's submission threats and volume in the first ten minutes were enough to earn him the nod on the scorecards with identical 29-28 scores.
Fight Overview
Colby Thicknesse makes his second appearance at RAC Arena — the same venue where he earned his first UFC win over Josias Musasa last September — as a 26-year-old Australian prospect looking to build on an 8-1 record, while 35-year-old American veteran Vince Morales carries a 3-8 UFC record and arrives off a loss to Raul Rosas Jr. in March 2025. Morales, a wrestling-based fighter who has shown near-submission ability against quality opponents, represents the experience edge, but Thicknesse's significant volume advantage and home crowd support make this a genuine opportunity for him to establish ranking relevance.
Keys to Victory
Vince Morales
- Get the fight to the mat quickly using his wrestling base before Thicknesse can establish his striking rhythm.
- Target the body in the early rounds to slow Thicknesse's cardio, which has been his strongest weapon in three-round wars.
- Use cage clinches to neutralize Thicknesse's volume and force him to work through dirty boxing rather than open exchanges.
Colby Thicknesse
- Establish high-volume striking from the first minute to make Morales work defensively and avoid early takedown attempts.
- Circle away from Morales's shots and make him pay for every single-leg or double-leg attempt with counter strikes.
- Control the center of the Octagon and use his reach advantage to dictate range throughout all three rounds.
Last 5 fights
Vince Morales
- L Raul Rosas Jr.
- L Elijah Smith
- L Taylor Lapilus
- W Hunter Azure
- W Luis Guerrero
Colby Thicknesse
- W Josias Musasa
- L Aleksandre Topuria
- W Marvin Malunes
- W Norman Agcopra
- W Jufri Gobel
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AI-generated This analysis was generated with AI and may contain errors.