Odds for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 are out!
UFC 329 — the centrepiece of International Fight Week — takes place Saturday, July 11 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The main event delivers a long-awaited welterweight rematch: Conor McGregor returns to the Octagon for the first time since breaking his leg in 2021, taking on featherweight legend Max Holloway thirteen years after their first meeting. The co-main pits Benoît Saint Denis against fan favourite Paddy Pimblett in a loaded lightweight showdown.
| Fight | Fighter 1 | Fighter 2 | Favourite |
|---|---|---|---|
| WW (Main) | Conor McGregor (2.85) | Max Holloway (1.41) | Holloway |
| LW (Co-Main) | Paddy Pimblett (2.24) | Benoît Saint Denis (1.63) | Saint Denis |
| BW | Cory Sandhagen (1.66) | Mario Bautista (2.19) | Sandhagen |
| FW | Brandon Royval (2.61) | Lone'er Kavanagh (1.48) | Kavanagh |
| LHW | Nikita Krylov (2.86) | Robert Whittaker (1.52) | Whittaker |
| BW | Cody Garbrandt (4.00) | Adrian Yañez (1.30) | Yañez |
| HW | Gable Steveson (1.03) | Elisha Ellison (11.17) | Steveson |
| LW | Luke Riley (1.39) | Kai Kamaka III (3.45) | Riley |
| MW | Damian Pinas (1.59) | César Almeida (2.63) | Pinas |
| SW | Tracy Cortez (2.33) | Wang Cong (1.69) | Wang Cong |
| MW | Zachary Reese (7.14) | Ryan Gandra (1.16) | Gandra |
Main Event — McGregor vs. Holloway: Holloway opens as a heavy favourite at 1.41; McGregor's 2.85 represents the longest underdog price of his UFC career. The market leans strongly toward a finish. Total Rounds O/U 1.5: Over 1.28 / Under 3.40. O/U 2.5: Over 1.87 / Under 1.87 — a true coin flip on whether the fight reaches round 3. O/U 4.5: Over 2.86 / Under 1.38 — the market expects a stoppage before the championship rounds. Method of Victory: Holloway by KO/TKO 1.91, McGregor by KO/TKO 4.25, Holloway by Submission 14.00, McGregor by Submission 23.00. Goes the Distance: Yes 2.50 / No 1.72.
Co-Main — Saint Denis vs. Pimblett: Saint Denis opens as a 1.63 favourite. Both fighters are elite finishers in a lightweight division starved of fresh contenders.
Notable lines: Robert Whittaker (1.52) makes his long-awaited light heavyweight debut against Nikita Krylov (2.86). Gable Steveson (1.03) enters as a near-prohibitive favourite in his professional MMA debut. Lone'er Kavanagh (1.48) is priced as a narrow favourite over flyweight veteran Brandon Royval (2.61).
Odds are informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.